La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cleveland Guardians v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 45.66%2.19momio equitativo
EV +0.442%
Ventaja +0.201%
Kelly +0.368%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.44%45.54%45.71%45.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.102.102.2048.78%47.52%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 54.34%1.84momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.904%
Kelly -2.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.03%54.46%54.29%56.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.691.751.751.8159.17%57.05%57.14%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +0.442%E +0.201%K +0.368%G +0.002% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -8.16%E -4.83%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 16:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| GTbets | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 14:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 11:13 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 05:20 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 11:14 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.53%E -3.79%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.84%E -0.856%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.53%E -3.79%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.64%E -0.904%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 17:09 |
| BetUS | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.30%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.75%E -1.29%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.18%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-05 17:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 16:20 |
| Bovada | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.21%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 17:03 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 16:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 17:09 |
| ReBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 15:59 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 16:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 16:08 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 03:29 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| Bally Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 15:09 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 15:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 17:09 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 02:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 02:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 02:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 02:30 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 23:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.61%E -4.48%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.58%E -2.19%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 17:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 16:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 14:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.90%E -2.80%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 15:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 16:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 09:14 |
| Betsson | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 09:14 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.44%E -3.13%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 15:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.53%E -3.79%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 16:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 0.1% | 2026-04-05 17:00 |
| ProphetX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.67% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.33% | 0.4% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Polymarket | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 17:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Novig | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.48% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.52% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 16:34 |