Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Arizona Diamondbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 55.63%1.80fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.868%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.64%55.68%55.70%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.711.711.7761.35%58.38%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)
Prediction 44.37%2.25fair odd
EV -0.165%
Edge -0.073%
Kelly -0.132%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.32%44.30%45.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.162.152.2548.31%46.20%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 55.63%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 44.37%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.254. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.250, with an expected value of -0.165%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.54%E -0.868%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-31 23:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.09%E -1.19%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.50%E -0.674%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-31 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.09%E -1.19%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-31 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.09%E -1.19%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-31 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.09%E -1.19%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.83%E -1.29%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-31 22:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.09%E -1.19%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.93%E -2.80%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.608%E -0.272%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.50%E -0.674%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-31 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.50%E -0.674%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-31 22:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-31 22:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.165%E -0.073%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-31 22:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.49%E -2.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-31 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.76%E -2.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.76%E -2.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 22:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.76%E -2.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.76%E -2.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 22:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.76%E -2.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 21:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.93%E -2.80%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.93%E -2.80%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.93%E -2.80%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.05%E -0.472%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-31 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.05%E -0.472%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-31 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-31 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.71%E -1.71%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 22:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 22:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 22:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 22:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 22:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 22:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 22:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 21:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 21:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.99%E -3.54%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -3.71%E -1.71%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 21:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.99%E -3.54%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 23:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.54%E -3.90%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.27%E -1.50%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.54%E -3.90%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.27%E -1.50%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.54%E -3.90%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.27%E -1.50%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.54%E -3.90%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.54%E -3.90%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -8.15%E -3.94%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 22:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 15:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-31 23:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.21%E -4.98%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 23:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.21%E -4.98%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -9.33%E -5.72%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -5.93%E -2.80%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-31 22:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-07-31 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-07-31 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-07-31 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-31 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 0.9% | 2026-07-31 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-07-31 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-31 16:29 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-31 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-07-31 22:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94% | 2.5% | 2026-07-31 22:25 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.