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Cleveland Guardians v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-07-31 23:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 54.86%1.82fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.697%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%54.85%54.85%55.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.741.751.8059.52%57.36%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 45.14%2.22fair odd
EV +0.214%
Edge +0.096%
Kelly +0.175%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.22%45.15%45.15%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2250.00%47.40%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV +0.214%E +0.096%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-30 18:59
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -0.689%E -0.313%K -0.574%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -0.689%E -0.313%K -0.574%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 18:59
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -0.689%E -0.313%K -0.574%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 19:24
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.35%E -1.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.04%E -0.942%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 23:20
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.25%E -0.697%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.49%E -1.15%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-30 21:37
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-30 23:14
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.00%E -2.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-30 23:45
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.55%E -2.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 19:39
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.55%E -2.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 20:55
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.55%E -2.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 19:14
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 19:14
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.19%E -3.62%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 19:13
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.00%E -2.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.85%E -1.81%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 00:59
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.55%E -2.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.85%E -1.81%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 19:45
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.30%E -2.03%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.30%E -2.03%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 20:00
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.00%E -2.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.75%E -2.25%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 21:14
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 19:04
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 00:00
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 00:00
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.00%E -2.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 23:54
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.00%E -2.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 19:09
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 18:59
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:05
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:10
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:09
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:10
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:15
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 21:29
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 18:59
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 20:05
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 21:10
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.19%E -3.62%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 23:14
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.55%E -2.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.65%E -2.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 21:30
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.65%E -2.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:58
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 00:00
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 00:00
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 00:00
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 23:59
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 00:00
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.00%E -2.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 00:00
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.00%E -2.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 23:59
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.00%E -2.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 23:59
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.56%E -3.17%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:49
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.56%E -3.17%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:44
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.84%E -4.67%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.46%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-30 23:15
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.74%E -3.96%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.72%E -4.86%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-30 23:59
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.84%E -4.67%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.72%E -4.86%K -9.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-31 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-07-31 00:20
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-30 21:05
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-30 19:00
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-07-31 01:00
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-07-31 01:05
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-07-31 00:25
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%9.4%2026-07-31 00:25