Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Arizona Diamondbacks

Início: 2026-07-31 23:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 1–4 Arizona Diamondbacks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 55.63%1.80odd justa
EV -1.54%
Vantagem -0.868%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.64%55.68%55.70%56.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.631.711.711.7761.35%58.38%58.48%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 44.37%2.25odd justa
EV -0.165%
Vantagem -0.073%
Kelly -0.132%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.15%44.32%44.30%45.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.072.162.152.2548.31%46.20%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 55.63%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 44.37%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.254. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.250, com valor esperado de -0.165%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.54%E -0.868%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 23:04
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.09%E -1.19%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.50%E -0.674%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.09%E -1.19%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.09%E -1.19%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 22:59
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.09%E -1.19%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.83%E -1.29%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 22:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.09%E -1.19%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.93%E -2.80%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.608%E -0.272%K -0.491%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-31 21:55
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.50%E -0.674%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.50%E -0.674%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 22:25
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 22:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.165%E -0.073%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 21:54
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-31 22:49
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 22:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 21:54
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 21:54
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.49%E -2.58%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.76%E -2.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 22:50
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.76%E -2.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 22:49
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.76%E -2.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.76%E -2.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 22:49
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.76%E -2.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 21:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.93%E -2.80%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 22:55
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.93%E -2.80%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.32%E -2.51%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.93%E -2.80%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.05%E -0.472%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-31 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -1.05%E -0.472%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-31 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 23:10
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.71%E -1.71%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 22:25
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 22:29
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 22:35
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 23:00
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 21:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 22:29
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 22:29
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 22:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 22:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 22:30
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 22:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 22:30
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 13:49
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 21:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 21:59
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.99%E -3.54%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -3.71%E -1.71%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 21:54
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.99%E -3.54%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 23:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.54%E -3.90%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.27%E -1.50%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 22:29
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.54%E -3.90%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.27%E -1.50%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 22:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.54%E -3.90%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.27%E -1.50%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.54%E -3.90%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.54%E -3.90%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -8.15%E -3.94%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 22:44
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 15:19
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 21:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 23:09
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.21%E -4.98%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 23:04
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.21%E -4.98%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -9.33%E -5.72%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -5.93%E -2.80%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 22:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-07-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-07-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-07-31 23:05
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-31 23:10
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-07-31 22:55
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-07-31 23:10
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-31 16:29
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-31 23:10
BetOpenly◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-07-31 22:59
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-07-31 22:25