Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-07-31 23:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Predicción 54.86%1.82momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.697%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.05%54.85%54.85%55.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.741.751.8059.52%57.37%57.14%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 45.14%2.22momio equitativo
EV +0.214%
Ventaja +0.096%
Kelly +0.175%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.10%45.15%45.15%45.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.112.102.2250.00%47.38%47.62%45.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV +0.214%E +0.096%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-30 18:59
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -0.689%E -0.313%K -0.574%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -0.689%E -0.313%K -0.574%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 18:59
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -0.689%E -0.313%K -0.574%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 19:24
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.59%E -0.730%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 01:55
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.35%E -1.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.04%E -0.942%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 23:20
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.25%E -0.697%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.49%E -1.15%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-30 21:37
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-30 23:14
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.00%E -2.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-30 23:45
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.55%E -2.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 19:39
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.55%E -2.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 20:55
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.55%E -2.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 19:14
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 19:14
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.19%E -3.62%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 19:13
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.00%E -2.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.85%E -1.81%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 00:59
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.55%E -2.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.85%E -1.81%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 19:45
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.30%E -2.03%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.30%E -2.03%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 20:00
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.00%E -2.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.75%E -2.25%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 21:14
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 19:04
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 00:00
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.90%E -1.64%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 00:00
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.00%E -2.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 19:09
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 18:59
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:05
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:10
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:09
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:10
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:15
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.09%E -2.94%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 21:29
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 18:59
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 20:05
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 21:10
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.19%E -3.62%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.20%E -2.48%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 23:14
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.55%E -2.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.65%E -2.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 21:30
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.64%E -3.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.65%E -2.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:58
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 00:00
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 00:00
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 00:00
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 23:59
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 00:00
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 00:00
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.00%E -2.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 01:30
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.00%E -2.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 00:00
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.00%E -2.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 23:59
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.00%E -2.28%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.11%E -2.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 23:59
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.56%E -3.17%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:49
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.45%E -1.96%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.56%E -3.17%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:44
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.84%E -4.67%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.46%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-30 23:15
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.74%E -3.96%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.72%E -4.86%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-30 23:59
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.84%E -4.67%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.72%E -4.86%K -9.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-31 00:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-07-31 00:20
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-30 21:05
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-30 19:00
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-07-31 01:35
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-07-31 01:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-07-31 00:25
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%9.4%2026-07-31 00:25