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Cleveland Guardians v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-08-01 23:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 59.39%1.68fair odd
EV -0.823%
Edge -0.493%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%59.39%59.46%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.601.6764.94%62.24%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 40.61%2.46fair odd
EV -0.499%
Edge -0.203%
Kelly -0.344%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%40.61%40.54%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.352.352.4546.51%42.55%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 59.39%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 40.61%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.45, with an expected value of -0.499%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -0.823%E -0.493%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -3.34%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 17:15
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.01%E -1.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.499%E -0.203%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-31 18:19
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.01%E -1.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.72%E -0.709%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 17:10
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.01%E -1.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 17:14
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.20%E -1.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.56%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 17:10
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.499%E -0.203%K -0.344%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.499%E -0.203%K -0.344%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:19
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.499%E -0.203%K -0.344%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:20
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.56%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 17:13
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.56%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:19
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.56%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.79%E -2.34%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.37%E -2.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 17:09
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.39%E -2.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.53%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 18:18
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.39%E -2.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.97%E -2.12%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 18:19
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.53%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.53%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 18:19
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -2.94%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:19
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.56%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:19
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.56%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.56%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:19
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.56%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:19
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 17:09
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 17:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.98%E -3.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.59%E -2.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 17:14
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.57%E -3.51%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.53%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:19
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.57%E -3.51%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.56%E -1.94%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:19
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.57%E -3.51%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.78%E -2.49%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 17:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.76%E -4.31%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.34%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 17:09
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.76%E -4.31%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.62%E -3.83%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 17:10
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -7.95%E -5.13%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.65%E -4.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -8.54%E -5.55%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.68%E -5.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-31 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-31 18:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-31 17:20
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 58.45%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%10.4%2026-07-31 17:10
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 68.94%2.22I 45.05%NM 31.06%45.0%2026-07-31 19:20