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Cleveland Guardians v Arizona Diamondbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 61.50%1.63fair odd
EV -0.981%
Edge -0.609%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%61.33%61.57%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6166.67%64.12%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)
Prediction 38.50%2.60fair odd
EV +0.094%
Edge +0.036%
Kelly +0.059%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.67%38.43%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.452.6043.48%40.70%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 61.50%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 38.50%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.598. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.600, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.094%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -2.21%E -1.39%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV +0.094%E +0.036%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 22:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.83%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -0.676%E -0.262%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 21:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.83%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -0.676%E -0.262%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.83%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -1.06%E -0.413%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 23:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.06%E -0.413%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-01 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.83%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.45%E -0.565%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.83%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.45%E -0.565%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.75%E -5.16%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.83%E -0.718%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.22%E -0.873%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-01 20:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.22%E -0.873%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-01 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.60%E -0.998%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.60%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 17:22 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -2.60%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 23:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.29%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.99%E -1.18%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.29%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.99%E -1.18%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.37%E -1.34%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 13:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 13:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 13:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.29%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 13:42 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 21:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.75%E -5.16%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.29%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 23:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.29%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 21:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.29%E -3.43%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.91%E -1.99%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.83%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 21:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 22:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 23:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -0.981%E -0.609%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -6.45%E -2.65%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -0.981%E -0.609%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -6.45%E -2.65%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 21:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.60%E -0.998%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.60%E -0.998%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.83%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 13:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.83%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 21:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 21:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 21:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 21:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -7.13%E -4.72%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -7.99%E -3.34%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 22:48 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -2.83%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -8.38%E -3.52%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -2.83%E -1.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -8.38%E -3.52%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 21:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.38%E -3.52%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 21:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.44%E -2.19%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.06%E -2.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.46%E -4.98%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 23:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.67%E -3.01%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.46%E -4.98%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.90%E -3.86%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.46%E -4.98%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 21:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 0.2% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.35% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.65% | 0.2% | 2026-08-01 23:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
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