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Cleveland Guardians v Arizona Diamondbacks
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 59.62%1.68momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.989%
Kelly -2.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.69%59.62%59.49%60.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.521.601.601.6565.79%62.47%62.50%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)
Predicción 40.38%2.48momio equitativo
EV -0.659%
Ventaja -0.268%
Kelly -0.451%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%40.38%40.51%42.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.352.4645.45%42.30%42.55%40.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 59.62%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 40.38%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.48. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.46, con un valor esperado de -0.659%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -1.63%E -0.989%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -1.06%E -0.434%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.63%E -0.989%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.27%E -0.940%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-31 17:10 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.63%E -0.989%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.82%E -1.73%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.659%E -0.268%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-31 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.82%E -1.73%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-31 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.06%E -0.434%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.06%E -0.434%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.06%E -0.434%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Caesars | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.02%E -2.49%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 18:18 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.02%E -2.49%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.49%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-31 20:08 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -3.49%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.89%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-31 20:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 20:04 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.21%E -3.28%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.21%E -3.28%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 18:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.28%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 20:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.50%E -2.35%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 20:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.89%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 17:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.12%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-31 20:04 |
| ReBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.00%E -4.49%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.12%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-31 20:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.19%E -5.32%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-31 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -9.38%E -6.17%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-31 20:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-31 18:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-31 17:20 |
| Novig | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43% | 7.9% | 2026-07-31 20:08 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.04% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96% | 10.0% | 2026-07-31 20:05 |