Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cleveland Guardians v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-08-01 23:16 UTC — MLB

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cleveland Guardians (Casa)

Previsione 59.62%1.68quota equa
EV -1.63%
Vantaggio -0.989%
Kelly -2.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.69%59.62%59.49%60.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.601.601.6565.79%62.47%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.38%2.48quota equa
EV -0.659%
Vantaggio -0.268%
Kelly -0.451%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.75%40.38%40.51%42.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.362.352.4645.45%42.30%42.55%40.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Cleveland Guardians (Casa): 59.62%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Trasferta): 40.38%. Per Arizona Diamondbacks (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.48. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 2.46, con un valore atteso del -0.659%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -1.63%E -0.989%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -1.06%E -0.434%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-31 18:19
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.63%E -0.989%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.27%E -0.940%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 17:10
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.63%E -0.989%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 17:14
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.82%E -1.73%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.659%E -0.268%K -0.451%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.82%E -1.73%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 17:10
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.06%E -0.434%K -0.733%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.06%E -0.434%K -0.733%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:19
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.06%E -0.434%K -0.733%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:19
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:20
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.02%E -2.49%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 18:18
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.02%E -2.49%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.49%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 20:08
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 18:19
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -3.49%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:19
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.89%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 20:09
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 20:04
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:19
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:19
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:19
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.21%E -3.28%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.08%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:19
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.21%E -3.28%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 18:19
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.28%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 17:09
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.10%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 20:04
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.50%E -2.35%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 20:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.89%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 17:09
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.40%E -4.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.12%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 20:04
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.00%E -4.49%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.12%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 20:04
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.19%E -5.32%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-31 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -9.38%E -6.17%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-31 20:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-31 18:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-31 17:20
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%7.9%2026-07-31 20:08
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 59.04%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%10.0%2026-07-31 20:05