Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 56.00%1.79fair odd
EV -0.886%
Edge -0.500%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.95%56.03%56.09%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.711.7761.73%58.54%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 44.00%2.27fair odd
EV -0.993%
Edge -0.441%
Kelly -0.794%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.97%43.91%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.172.202.2547.62%45.99%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 56.00%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 44.00%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -0.886%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.886%E -0.500%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.45%E -0.821%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.31%E -1.04%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.45%E -0.821%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.45%E -0.821%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -1.45%E -0.821%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.51%E -2.08%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.43%E -0.640%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.75%E -1.25%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 22:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.57%E -1.47%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.43%E -0.640%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.57%E -1.47%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.57%E -1.47%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.57%E -1.47%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.15%E -3.39%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.71%E -3.17%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.71%E -3.17%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.71%E -3.17%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.71%E -3.17%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.59%E -3.62%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.25%E -2.48%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 15:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.25%E -2.48%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.07%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 15:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.25%E -2.48%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.07%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.25%E -2.48%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.25%E -2.48%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.59%E -3.62%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.75%E -1.25%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 12:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 12:23 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 02:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.59%E -3.62%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.59%E -3.62%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 22:31 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.37%E -3.17%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.993%E -0.441%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.37%E -3.17%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.31%E -1.04%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 08:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.37%E -3.17%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.37%E -3.17%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 12:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.37%E -3.17%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 03:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 12:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.07%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.07%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -1.43%E -0.640%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 03:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 03:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 03:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 03:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 00:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 07:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 22:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 20:11 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-05-12 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-05-12 01:19 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.4% | 2026-05-12 22:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 2.1% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67% | 2.7% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |