A Escola das Odds

Cincinnati Reds v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-05-12 22:41 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 4–10 Washington Nationals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 56.00%1.79odd justa
EV -0.886%
Vantagem -0.500%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.95%56.03%56.09%57.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.711.711.7761.73%58.54%58.48%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 44.00%2.27odd justa
EV -0.993%
Vantagem -0.441%
Kelly -0.794%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.41%43.97%43.91%45.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.172.202.2547.62%45.99%45.45%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.886%E -0.500%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 22:10
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.45%E -0.821%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.31%E -1.04%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-12 22:35
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.45%E -0.821%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.45%E -0.821%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 22:35
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -1.45%E -0.821%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.51%E -2.08%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-12 22:25
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.43%E -0.640%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-12 22:30
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.75%E -1.25%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 22:40
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 22:39
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.57%E -1.47%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.43%E -0.640%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-12 22:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.57%E -1.47%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 22:35
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.57%E -1.47%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 22:25
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.57%E -1.47%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 22:25
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:25
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:25
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:25
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:25
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:25
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:25
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:25
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.15%E -3.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 22:35
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 22:39
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.71%E -3.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:25
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.71%E -3.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:25
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.71%E -3.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:25
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.71%E -3.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:25
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.59%E -3.62%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.25%E -2.48%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 15:45
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.25%E -2.48%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.07%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 15:49
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.25%E -2.48%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.07%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 22:39
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.25%E -2.48%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:10
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.25%E -2.48%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.59%E -3.62%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.75%E -1.25%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 12:25
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 12:23
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 02:14
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.59%E -3.62%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 22:39
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.59%E -3.62%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 22:31
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.37%E -3.17%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.993%E -0.441%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-12 18:45
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.37%E -3.17%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.31%E -1.04%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 08:49
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.37%E -3.17%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 19:30
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.37%E -3.17%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 12:25
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.37%E -3.17%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 22:35
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:44
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:39
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 16:15
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 03:20
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 12:24
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.07%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.07%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 19:45
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -1.43%E -0.640%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 18:45
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 03:19
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 03:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 03:19
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 03:19
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 00:19
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 18:45
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 07:04
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 22:35
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 20:11
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-12 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-12 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-12 22:40
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-12 22:40
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-05-12 22:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-12 16:25
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-12 01:19
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-05-12 22:39
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-05-12 22:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-05-12 22:40