L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Reds v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 22:41 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 4–10 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 56.00%1.79cote équitable
EV -0.886%
Avantage -0.500%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.95%56.03%56.09%57.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.711.711.7761.73%58.54%58.48%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.00%2.27cote équitable
EV -0.993%
Avantage -0.441%
Kelly -0.794%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.41%43.97%43.91%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.172.202.2547.62%45.99%45.45%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.886%E -0.500%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 22:10
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.45%E -0.821%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.31%E -1.04%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-12 22:35
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.45%E -0.821%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.45%E -0.821%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 22:35
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -1.45%E -0.821%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.51%E -2.08%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-12 22:25
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.43%E -0.640%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-12 22:30
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.75%E -1.25%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 22:40
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 22:39
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.57%E -1.47%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.43%E -0.640%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-12 22:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.57%E -1.47%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 22:35
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.57%E -1.47%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 22:25
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.57%E -1.47%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 22:25
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:25
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:25
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:25
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:25
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:25
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:25
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.83%E -2.73%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:25
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.15%E -3.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 22:35
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 22:39
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.71%E -3.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:25
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.71%E -3.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:25
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.71%E -3.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:25
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.71%E -3.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:25
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.59%E -3.62%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.25%E -2.48%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 15:45
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.25%E -2.48%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.07%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 15:49
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.25%E -2.48%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.07%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 22:39
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.25%E -2.48%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:10
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.25%E -2.48%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.59%E -3.62%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.75%E -1.25%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 12:25
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 12:23
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 02:14
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.59%E -3.62%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 22:39
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.59%E -3.62%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 22:31
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.37%E -3.17%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.993%E -0.441%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-12 18:45
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.37%E -3.17%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.31%E -1.04%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 08:49
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.37%E -3.17%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 19:30
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.37%E -3.17%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 12:25
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.37%E -3.17%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 22:35
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:44
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 22:39
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 16:15
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 03:20
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 12:24
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.07%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.07%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 19:45
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -1.43%E -0.640%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 18:45
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 03:19
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 03:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 03:19
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 03:19
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 00:19
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.49%E -3.88%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 18:45
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 07:04
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 22:35
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 20:11
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-12 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-12 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-12 22:40
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-05-12 22:40
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-05-12 22:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-12 16:25
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-12 01:19
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-05-12 22:39
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-05-12 22:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-05-12 22:40