Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds v St. Louis Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-08-20 16:41 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 9–10 St. Louis Cardinals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prediction 48.96%2.04fair odd
EV -0.129%
Edge -0.063%
Kelly -0.124%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.96%48.93%48.95%49.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.951.952.0453.48%51.34%51.28%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 51.04%1.96fair odd
EV -0.465%
Edge -0.238%
Kelly -0.489%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.26%51.07%51.05%52.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9555.56%53.45%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 48.96%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 51.04%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.043. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.040, with an expected value of -0.129%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -0.129%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-20 16:34
DraftKings🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%EV -0.619%E -0.305%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%EV -2.51%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-20 16:38
Caesars🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.619%E -0.305%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-20 16:16
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.09%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.49%E -0.770%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-20 13:59
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.09%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.00%E -1.04%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-20 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.09%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.51%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-20 13:04
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.09%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.51%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-20 16:39
Everygame🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.00%E -1.04%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-20 16:33
BetAnything🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 16:39
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.465%E -0.238%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-20 14:53
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.49%E -0.770%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 16:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.49%E -0.770%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 16:34
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.49%E -0.770%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 16:34
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 14:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 14:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-20 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.02%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-20 13:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 14:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 14:14
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 12:59
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 16:39
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 19:20
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 16:39
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 16:39
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 14:19
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 16:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.02%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 15:15
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 16:39
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:14
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 16:39
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:14
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:24
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.06%E -2.72%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 16:39
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.51%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 14:14
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.51%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.51%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 16:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.00%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.00%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.00%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 14:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.00%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.49%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 14:49
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.49%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 12:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.49%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.49%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 12:49
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.49%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 14:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.98%E -3.68%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 16:29
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.98%E -3.68%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 16:28
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.98%E -3.68%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 16:28
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.96%E -4.24%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 14:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.45%E -4.52%K -9.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 16:13
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-08-20 16:39
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-08-20 16:30
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%0.6%2026-08-20 16:30
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-19 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-20 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-20 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-20 16:35
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-20 15:05
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%2.6%2026-08-20 16:39