Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cincinnati Reds v St. Louis Cardinals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-20 16:41 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 9–10 St. Louis Cardinals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 48.96%2.04cote équitable
EV -0.129%
Avantage -0.063%
Kelly -0.124%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.96%48.93%48.95%49.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.871.951.952.0453.48%51.34%51.28%49.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.04%1.96cote équitable
EV -0.465%
Avantage -0.238%
Kelly -0.489%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.26%51.07%51.05%52.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.871.871.9555.56%53.45%53.48%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cincinnati Reds (Local) : 48.96% ; St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur) : 51.04%. Pour Cincinnati Reds (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.043. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.040, pour une espérance de -0.129% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -0.129%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-20 16:34
DraftKings🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%EV -0.619%E -0.305%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%EV -2.51%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-20 16:38
Caesars🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.619%E -0.305%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-20 16:16
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.09%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.49%E -0.770%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-20 13:59
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.09%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.00%E -1.04%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-20 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.09%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.51%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-20 13:04
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.09%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.51%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-20 16:39
Everygame🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.00%E -1.04%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-20 16:33
BetAnything🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 16:39
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.465%E -0.238%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-20 14:53
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.49%E -0.770%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 16:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.49%E -0.770%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 16:34
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.49%E -0.770%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 16:34
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 14:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 14:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-20 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.02%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-20 13:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 14:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 14:14
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 12:59
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 16:39
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 19:20
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 16:39
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 16:39
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 14:19
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 16:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.02%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 15:15
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 16:39
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:14
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 16:39
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:14
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:24
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.06%E -2.72%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 16:39
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.51%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 14:14
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.51%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.51%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 16:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.00%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.00%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.00%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 14:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.00%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.49%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 14:49
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.49%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 12:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.49%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.49%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 12:49
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.49%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 14:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.98%E -3.68%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 16:29
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.98%E -3.68%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 16:28
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.98%E -3.68%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 16:28
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.96%E -4.24%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 14:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.45%E -4.52%K -9.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 16:13
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-08-20 16:39
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Novig◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-08-20 16:30
ProphetX◎2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%0.6%2026-08-20 16:30
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-19 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-20 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-20 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-20 16:35
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-20 15:05
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%2.6%2026-08-20 16:39