Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-08-20 16:41 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 9–10 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 48.96%2.04odd justa
EV -0.129%
Vantagem -0.063%
Kelly -0.124%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.96%48.93%48.95%49.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.951.952.0453.48%51.34%51.28%49.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 51.04%1.96odd justa
EV -0.465%
Vantagem -0.238%
Kelly -0.489%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.26%51.07%51.05%52.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.871.871.9555.56%53.45%53.48%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 48.96%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 51.04%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.043. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.040, com valor esperado de -0.129%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -0.129%E -0.063%K -0.124%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-20 16:34
DraftKings🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%EV -0.619%E -0.305%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%EV -2.51%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-20 16:38
Caesars🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.619%E -0.305%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-20 16:16
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.09%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.49%E -0.770%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-20 13:59
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.09%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.00%E -1.04%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-20 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.09%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.51%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-20 13:04
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.09%E -1.04%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.51%E -1.31%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-20 16:39
Everygame🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.00%E -1.04%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-20 16:33
BetAnything🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 16:39
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.465%E -0.238%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-20 14:53
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.49%E -0.770%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 16:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.49%E -0.770%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 16:34
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.49%E -0.770%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 16:34
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 14:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 14:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-20 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.02%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-20 13:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 14:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 14:14
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 12:59
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 16:39
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 19:20
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 16:39
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 16:39
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 14:19
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 16:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.02%E -1.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 15:15
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 16:39
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:14
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 16:39
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:14
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 14:24
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.06%E -2.72%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 16:39
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.51%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 14:14
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.51%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.51%E -2.86%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 16:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.00%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.04%E -2.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.00%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.00%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 14:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.00%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.08%E -3.30%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.49%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.53%E -1.87%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 14:49
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.49%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 12:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.49%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.49%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 12:49
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.49%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 14:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.98%E -3.68%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.55%E -2.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 16:29
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.98%E -3.68%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 16:28
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.98%E -3.68%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.57%E -3.01%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 16:28
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.96%E -4.24%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 14:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.45%E -4.52%K -9.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.59%E -3.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 16:13
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-08-20 16:39
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-08-20 16:39
Novig◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-08-20 16:30
ProphetX◎2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%0.6%2026-08-20 16:30
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-19 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-20 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-20 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-20 16:35
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-20 15:05
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%2.6%2026-08-20 16:39