Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v St. Louis Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 56.13%1.78fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.692%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%56.16%56.10%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.701.7662.50%59.04%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 43.87%2.28fair odd
EV +0.033%
Edge +0.015%
Kelly +0.026%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.84%43.90%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.202.202.2847.85%45.56%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 56.13%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 43.87%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.279. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.280, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.033%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV +0.033%E +0.015%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV +0.033%E +0.015%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.46%E -2.01%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -0.844%E -0.374%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%EV -1.28%E -0.570%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-19 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.28%E -0.570%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.28%E -0.570%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 22:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.28%E -0.570%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.28%E -0.570%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.28%E -0.570%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.28%E -0.570%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.16%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 20:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.16%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.16%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.16%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.16%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.16%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.16%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.16%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.22%E -0.692%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.22%E -0.692%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.04%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -3.04%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-19 20:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -2.90%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -3.04%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.90%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.95%E -4.85%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.95%E -4.85%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.08%E -5.60%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 20:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.92%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.92%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.35%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.35%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.79%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 20:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -10.20%E -6.37%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-19 19:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-19 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.46%E -2.01%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.46%E -2.01%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 19:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 22:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 22:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 22:28 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.11%E -2.85%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.99%E -3.30%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.30%E -3.97%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-19 22:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-19 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-19 19:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-19 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.5% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39% | 1.5% | 2026-08-19 22:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 1.8% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80% | 2.8% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |