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Cincinnati Reds v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-19 22:40 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prediction 55.98%1.79fair odd
EV -0.357%
Edge -0.201%
Kelly -0.458%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.00%56.06%57.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.701.701.7862.11%58.89%58.82%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 44.02%2.27fair odd
EV -0.953%
Edge -0.424%
Kelly -0.762%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.75%44.00%43.94%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.202.2548.78%45.80%45.56%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 55.98%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 44.02%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.78, with an expected value of -0.357%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -0.357%E -0.201%K -0.458%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -4.47%E -2.06%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 00:55
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -0.357%E -0.201%K -0.458%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -4.47%E -2.06%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 00:15
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.60%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.953%E -0.424%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 01:15
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.60%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.953%E -0.424%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 01:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.60%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.953%E -0.424%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 01:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.60%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.27%E -1.02%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-19 01:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.60%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.27%E -1.02%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-19 01:15
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.60%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.27%E -1.02%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-19 01:14
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.60%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 21:35
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.60%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 22:55
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.60%E -1.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-19 00:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 00:05
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 00:05
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 01:15
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 00:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -7.12%E -3.37%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 18:40
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 18:39
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.84%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.59%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 01:14
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.84%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.84%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 01:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.84%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 01:15
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.40%E -3.19%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 01:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.96%E -3.54%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.953%E -0.424%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 22:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.96%E -3.54%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.953%E -0.424%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 22:45
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.96%E -3.54%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.953%E -0.424%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.96%E -3.54%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -0.953%E -0.424%K -0.762%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 22:45
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.96%E -3.54%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.39%E -0.622%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 18:35
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.96%E -3.54%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.83%E -0.822%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 19:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.96%E -3.54%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.59%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 01:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.83%E -0.822%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:45
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.83%E -0.822%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:45
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.83%E -0.822%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:45
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.83%E -0.822%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.83%E -0.822%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:45
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.83%E -0.822%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:45
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 01:15
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 01:15
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.07%E -4.26%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 01:14
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 22:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.76%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 01:14
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.87%E -6.13%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-18 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-18 18:20
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-18 20:45
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-08-19 01:15
ProphetX◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-08-19 01:15
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%7.1%2026-08-19 01:15
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 55.59%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.41%10.4%2026-08-19 01:15

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