默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Reds v St. Louis Cardinals

开赛时间: 2026-08-19 22:41 UTC

最终结果: Cincinnati Reds 5–4 St. Louis Cardinals

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Reds (主队)

预测 56.13%1.78公平赔率
EV -1.22%
优势 -0.692%
Kelly -1.60%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.76

博彩公司预测分布
55.26%56.16%56.10%57.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.691.701.7662.50%59.04%58.82%56.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

St. Louis Cardinals (客队)

预测 43.87%2.28公平赔率
EV +0.033%
优势 +0.015%
Kelly +0.026%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.28

博彩公司预测分布
42.41%43.84%43.90%44.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.092.202.202.2847.85%45.56%45.45%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cincinnati Reds (主队):56.13%;St. Louis Cardinals (客队):43.87%。 对于“St. Louis Cardinals (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.279。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.280,对应+0.033%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV +0.033%E +0.015%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-19 19:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV +0.033%E +0.015%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-19 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.46%E -2.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -0.844%E -0.374%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-19 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%EV -1.28%E -0.570%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-19 22:35
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.28%E -0.570%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 19:40
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.28%E -0.570%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 22:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.28%E -0.570%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 19:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.28%E -0.570%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.28%E -0.570%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 19:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.28%E -0.570%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 21:35
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.78%E -1.02%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.16%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-19 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.16%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 19:55
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.16%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 19:55
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.16%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 19:55
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.16%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 19:55
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.16%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.16%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 19:55
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.16%E -0.969%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.22%E -0.692%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-19 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-19 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-19 22:40
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-19 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.60%E -1.17%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 22:40
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.22%E -0.692%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.04%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-19 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -3.04%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-19 20:40
BetAnything🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -2.90%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -3.04%E -1.37%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-19 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.90%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-19 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 22:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 22:30
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 21:55
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 21:35
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 22:39
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.71%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 19:40
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.95%E -4.85%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.95%E -4.85%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 19:55
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.08%E -5.60%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 20:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.92%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 20:15
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.92%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 22:39
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.35%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 20:45
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.35%E -2.00%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.79%E -2.21%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 20:44
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 22:30
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 22:30
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -10.20%E -6.37%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -5.23%E -2.42%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.34%E -1.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-19 19:50
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.46%E -2.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.46%E -2.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 22:30
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 19:40
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 20:45
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 20:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 22:34
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 22:30
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.67%E -2.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 22:28
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.11%E -2.85%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:05
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.27%E -3.75%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.99%E -3.30%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 21:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.83%E -4.12%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.30%E -3.97%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-19 22:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-19 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-08-19 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-08-19 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-08-19 21:50
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-19 19:50
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-19 19:45
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-08-19 22:40
BetOpenly◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-08-19 22:39
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-08-19 22:40
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%2.8%2026-08-19 22:40