Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 40.41%2.47fair odd
EV +0.625%
Edge +0.251%
Kelly +0.420%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%40.42%40.51%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4945.45%42.67%42.55%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 59.59%1.68fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.653%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%59.58%59.49%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.621.6664.52%62.01%61.92%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 40.41%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 59.59%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.625%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.56%EV +0.625%E +0.251%K +0.420%G +0.003% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.44%EV -2.87%E -1.76%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.991%E -0.405%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.991%E -0.405%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.991%E -0.405%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.991%E -0.405%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 16:38 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.991%E -0.405%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.04%E -4.51%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -1.40%E -0.572%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.80%E -0.741%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.20%E -0.911%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.20%E -0.911%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.61%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -3.42%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.08%E -0.653%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.63%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.63%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 16:13 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.85%E -3.70%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.44%E -2.32%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.84%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.84%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.84%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 16:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.87%E -1.76%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.85%E -3.70%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 15:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 15:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -8.27%E -3.64%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.04%E -4.51%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 16:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 16:39 |