Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cincinnati Reds v San Diego Padres

Inizio: 2026-09-02 16:41 UTC

Finale: Cincinnati Reds 7–3 San Diego Padres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

66 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cincinnati Reds (Casa)

Previsione 40.41%2.47quota equa
EV +0.625%
Vantaggio +0.251%
Kelly +0.420%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.90%40.42%40.51%42.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.342.352.4945.45%42.67%42.55%40.16%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

San Diego Padres (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.59%1.68quota equa
EV -1.08%
Vantaggio -0.653%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.69%59.58%59.49%61.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.611.621.6664.52%62.01%61.92%60.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Cincinnati Reds (Casa): 40.41%; San Diego Padres (Trasferta): 59.59%. Per Cincinnati Reds (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.47. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.49, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.625%.

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Caesars🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.56%EV +0.625%E +0.251%K +0.420%G +0.003%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.44%EV -2.87%E -1.76%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-02 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.991%E -0.405%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.991%E -0.405%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 16:30
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.991%E -0.405%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 16:30
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.991%E -0.405%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 16:38
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.991%E -0.405%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.04%E -4.51%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 16:35
Bovada🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -1.40%E -0.572%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 16:39
theScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.80%E -0.741%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 16:15
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.20%E -0.911%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-02 16:39
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.20%E -0.911%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 16:30
BetAnything🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.61%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 16:20
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 16:15
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 16:39
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 16:39
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:10
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -3.42%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.08%E -0.653%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 16:10
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 16:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 16:35
DraftKings🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 16:10
SportsBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.63%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.63%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:15
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:10
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 16:13
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.85%E -3.70%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:29
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.44%E -2.32%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 16:15
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.84%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:00
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.84%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:00
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.84%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:14
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 16:38
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.87%E -1.76%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 16:35
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 15:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 13:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 16:40
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 16:29
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.85%E -3.70%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 15:44
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 16:10
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 15:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -8.27%E -3.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.04%E -4.51%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 16:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 15:45
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 15:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-09-02 16:40
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-09-02 16:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-09-02 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-09-02 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-09-02 16:40
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-02 16:25
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-09-02 16:40
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-09-02 16:40
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-09-02 16:35
BetOpenly◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.6%2026-09-02 16:39