默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Reds v San Diego Padres

开赛时间: 2026-09-02 16:41 UTC

最终结果: Cincinnati Reds 7–3 San Diego Padres

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Reds (主队)

预测 40.41%2.47公平赔率
EV +0.625%
优势 +0.251%
Kelly +0.420%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 2.49

博彩公司预测分布
38.90%40.42%40.51%42.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.342.352.4945.45%42.67%42.55%40.16%最小值均值中位数最大值

San Diego Padres (客队)

预测 59.59%1.68公平赔率
EV -1.08%
优势 -0.653%
Kelly -1.64%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.66

博彩公司预测分布
57.69%59.58%59.49%61.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.611.621.6664.52%62.01%61.92%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cincinnati Reds (主队):40.41%;San Diego Padres (客队):59.59%。 对于“Cincinnati Reds (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.47。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.49,对应+0.625%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.56%EV +0.625%E +0.251%K +0.420%G +0.003%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.44%EV -2.87%E -1.76%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-02 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.991%E -0.405%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.991%E -0.405%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 16:30
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.991%E -0.405%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 16:30
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.991%E -0.405%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 16:38
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.991%E -0.405%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.04%E -4.51%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 16:35
Bovada🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -1.40%E -0.572%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 16:39
theScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.80%E -0.741%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 16:15
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.20%E -0.911%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-02 16:39
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.20%E -0.911%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 16:30
BetAnything🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.61%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 16:20
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 16:15
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 16:39
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 16:39
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 16:10
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -3.42%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.08%E -0.653%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 16:10
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 16:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 16:35
DraftKings🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 16:10
SportsBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.63%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.63%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:15
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:10
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 16:13
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.85%E -3.70%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:29
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.44%E -2.32%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 16:15
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.84%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:00
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.84%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:00
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.84%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:14
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 16:38
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.87%E -1.76%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 16:35
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 15:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 13:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 16:40
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 16:29
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.85%E -3.70%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 15:44
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 16:10
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 15:45
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 15:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -8.27%E -3.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.04%E -4.51%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 16:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.68%E -1.02%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 15:45
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 15:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-09-02 16:40
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-09-02 16:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-09-02 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-09-02 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-09-02 16:40
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-02 16:25
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-09-02 16:40
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-09-02 16:40
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-09-02 16:35
BetOpenly◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.6%2026-09-02 16:39