Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 44.75%2.23fair odd
EV +0.683%
Edge +0.304%
Kelly +0.547%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.46%44.86%44.73%46.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.77%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 55.25%1.81fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.48%55.14%55.27%57.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.721.7960.61%57.99%58.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 44.75%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 55.25%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.683%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.683%E +0.304%K +0.547%G +0.004% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.28%E -4.99%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 20:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.11%E -0.501%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.11%E -0.501%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.55%E -0.706%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.20%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 22:16 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.55%E -0.706%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.55%E -0.706%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 06:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.00%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.00%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.45%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.20%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.10%E -0.614%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.65%E -0.928%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 20:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 21:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.31%E -1.89%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 22:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 07:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 07:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 07:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 07:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 07:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 20:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.24%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 20:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.24%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.24%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -4.69%E -2.20%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -1.65%E -0.928%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 20:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.31%E -1.89%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 22:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 17:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.31%E -1.89%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 19:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 21:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 18:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.48%E -3.10%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.92%E -3.33%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.65%E -0.928%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.92%E -3.33%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.92%E -3.33%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.37%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 22:13 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.31%E -1.89%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 22:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.31%E -1.89%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 19:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |