Idioma:Español
Cincinnati Reds v San Diego Padres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Predicción 44.75%2.23momio equitativo
EV +0.683%
Ventaja +0.304%
Kelly +0.547%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.46%44.86%44.73%46.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.77%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
San Diego Padres (Visitante)
Predicción 55.25%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.614%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.48%55.14%55.27%57.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.721.7960.61%57.99%58.14%55.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 44.75%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 55.25%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.23. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.683%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.683%E +0.304%K +0.547%G +0.004% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.28%E -4.99%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 20:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.11%E -0.501%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.11%E -0.501%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.55%E -0.706%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.20%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 22:16 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.55%E -0.706%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.55%E -0.706%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 06:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.00%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.00%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.45%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.20%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.10%E -0.614%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.65%E -0.928%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 13:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 20:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 21:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.31%E -1.89%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 22:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 07:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 07:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 07:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 07:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 07:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 20:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.24%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 20:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.24%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.24%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -4.69%E -2.20%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -1.65%E -0.928%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 20:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.31%E -1.89%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 22:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 17:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.31%E -1.89%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 19:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 21:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 18:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.48%E -3.10%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.92%E -3.33%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.65%E -0.928%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.92%E -3.33%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.92%E -3.33%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.37%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 22:13 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.31%E -1.89%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 22:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.31%E -1.89%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 0.4% | 2026-09-01 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 19:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |