Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-09-01 22:41 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 4–3 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 44.75%2.23odd justa
EV +0.683%
Vantagem +0.304%
Kelly +0.547%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.46%44.86%44.73%46.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.77%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 55.25%1.81odd justa
EV -1.10%
Vantagem -0.614%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.48%55.14%55.27%57.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.721.7960.61%57.99%58.14%55.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 44.75%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 55.25%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.23. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.683%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.683%E +0.304%K +0.547%G +0.004%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.28%E -4.99%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 20:55
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.11%E -0.501%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-01 22:10
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.11%E -0.501%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-01 22:30
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.55%E -0.706%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.20%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-01 22:16
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.55%E -0.706%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.55%E -0.706%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 06:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.00%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-01 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.00%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-01 22:10
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.45%E -1.12%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.20%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-01 22:35
Caesars🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.10%E -0.614%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-01 22:15
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.65%E -0.928%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 20:10
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 21:45
BetAnything🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 22:25
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 13:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 20:04
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 21:45
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 21:45
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 21:45
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.34%E -1.55%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 21:44
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.31%E -1.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 06:25
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 22:39
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:35
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 23:10
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 07:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 07:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 07:20
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 21:35
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 07:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 07:20
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:45
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.79%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.73%E -4.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 20:14
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.24%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 20:30
SportsBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.24%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.52%E -3.23%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 12:35
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.24%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 22:40
theScore Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -4.69%E -2.20%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -1.65%E -0.928%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 20:45
Bovada🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.31%E -1.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 22:38
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 17:14
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.97%E -2.89%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 17:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.13%E -2.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.31%E -1.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 19:04
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 21:24
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 18:04
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:35
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.03%E -2.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 22:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.48%E -3.10%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.92%E -3.33%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.65%E -0.928%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 22:40
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.92%E -3.33%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.07%E -3.57%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 22:40
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.92%E -3.33%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 21:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.37%E -3.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.18%E -4.27%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 22:13
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.76%E -1.57%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 22:40
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.31%E -1.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 22:34
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.31%E -1.89%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 22:30
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.27%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.86%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-09-01 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-09-01 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-09-01 22:40
ProphetX◎2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%0.7%2026-09-01 22:40
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-01 19:40
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-01 22:40
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-01 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-01 22:40
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-09-01 22:40
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%3.0%2026-09-01 22:40