Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-08-02 17:41 UTC — MLB

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева)

Прогноз 57.84%1.73справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.68%
Преимущество -0.987%
Kelly -2.40%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.85%57.84%57.75%58.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.571.651.651.7063.69%60.61%60.61%58.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Гости)

Прогноз 42.16%2.37справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.917%
Преимущество -0.390%
Kelly -0.679%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.03%42.16%42.25%43.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.152.262.252.3546.51%44.16%44.35%42.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Для рынка «Победитель встречи» модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивает вероятности так: Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева): 57.84%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Гости): 42.16%. Для исхода «Pittsburgh Pirates (Гости)» эта оценка соответствует справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.37. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагает коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший доступный коэффициент — 2.35, математическое ожидание — -0.917%; положительного ожидания нет.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.68%E -0.987%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.60%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 22:55
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.26%E -1.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.917%E -0.390%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-01 22:35
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%EV -2.26%E -1.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%EV -1.34%E -0.572%K -0.999%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 20:10
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.26%E -1.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.76%E -0.755%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 18:35
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.26%E -1.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.60%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:24
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.26%E -1.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.60%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:25
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.26%E -1.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-01 22:45
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.26%E -1.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 23:00
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.83%E -1.69%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.76%E -0.755%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 02:25
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -2.83%E -1.69%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.29%E -1.89%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 01:20
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 18:29
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.29%E -1.89%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 02:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 20:10
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 01:55
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 01:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 01:48
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.41%E -2.04%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 22:39
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.99%E -2.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.40%E -2.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:20
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.99%E -2.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.40%E -2.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:53
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 20:54
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:49
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:50
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:50
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:49
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.87%E -1.70%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 21:04
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.71%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 20:45
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:55
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:15
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 22:45
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:15
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:50
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:49
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 23:44
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.57%E -2.77%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.55%E -2.48%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 22:44
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.45%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 01:50
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.87%E -1.70%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 01:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.87%E -1.70%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 01:49
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.87%E -1.70%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 01:49
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.87%E -1.70%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 01:50
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.87%E -1.70%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 01:50
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.87%E -1.70%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 01:50
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:14
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.15%E -3.14%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 01:49
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.51%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.87%E -1.70%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 01:50
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.51%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.87%E -1.70%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 01:49
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.73%E -3.51%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.87%E -1.70%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 01:49
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.73%E -3.51%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 20:09
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.73%E -3.51%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.98%E -2.68%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 01:55
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 20:10
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.30%E -3.89%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 01:49
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.88%E -4.27%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 01:49
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.88%E -4.27%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.13%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 01:49
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.88%E -4.27%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 01:49
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.46%E -4.66%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 19:50
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.46%E -4.66%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.35%E -4.35%K -8.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 01:49
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.20%E -5.86%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.24%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 01:49
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-02 02:42
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-01 20:54
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-01 18:25
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-08-02 02:35
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%3.4%2026-08-02 02:15
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 57.60%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%9.2%2026-08-02 02:35