Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 17:41 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 10–2 Pittsburgh Pirates

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 55.73%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.771%
Kelly -1.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.55%55.78%55.70%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.641.711.711.7760.98%58.32%58.48%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.27%2.26cote équitable
EV -0.384%
Avantage -0.171%
Kelly -0.307%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.86%44.22%44.30%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.082.162.152.2548.08%46.29%46.51%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cincinnati Reds (Local) : 55.73% ; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur) : 44.27%. Pour Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.26. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.25, pour une espérance de -0.384% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 17:35
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.04%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-02 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 17:34
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 17:29
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 17:20
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.71%E -0.771%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.16%E -0.975%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 17:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.48%E -1.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.48%E -1.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 16:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.384%E -0.171%K -0.307%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 17:24
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.384%E -0.171%K -0.307%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 14:49
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 14:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:25
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:25
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 17:34
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:53
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:54
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:54
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 14:59
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:40
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:40
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:40
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 17:25
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 17:04
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:59
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:00
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:30
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 17:29
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.16%E -0.975%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 17:30
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 17:39
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.38%E -3.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:30
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.94%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.94%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.94%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.94%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.91%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:33
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.05%E -4.88%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -8.61%E -5.25%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.79I 55.87%NM 56.45%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.55%-1.0%2026-08-02 17:39
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-08-02 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-08-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-08-02 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-08-02 17:15
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-02 16:30
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-08-02 17:40
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-02 17:40
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-08-02 17:40
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-08-02 17:40