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Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Predicción 55.73%1.79momio equitativo
EV -1.36%
Ventaja -0.771%
Kelly -1.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.55%55.78%55.70%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.641.711.711.7760.98%58.32%58.48%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)
Predicción 44.27%2.26momio equitativo
EV -0.384%
Ventaja -0.171%
Kelly -0.307%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.22%44.30%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.082.162.152.2548.08%46.29%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 55.73%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 44.27%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.26. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.25, con un valor esperado de -0.384%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.04%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.71%E -0.771%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.16%E -0.975%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.48%E -1.42%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-02 16:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.48%E -1.42%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 16:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.384%E -0.171%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 17:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.384%E -0.171%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 14:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 16:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 14:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 16:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 17:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.16%E -0.975%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 17:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 16:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.38%E -3.80%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.94%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.94%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.94%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.94%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.91%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 17:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.05%E -4.88%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -8.61%E -5.25%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 56.45% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.55% | -1.0% | 2026-08-02 17:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 0.6% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 16:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.5% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |