Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-08-02 17:41 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 10–2 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 55.73%1.79odd justa
EV -1.36%
Vantagem -0.771%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.55%55.78%55.70%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.641.711.711.7760.98%58.32%58.48%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 44.27%2.26odd justa
EV -0.384%
Vantagem -0.171%
Kelly -0.307%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.22%44.30%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.082.162.152.2548.08%46.29%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 55.73%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 44.27%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.26. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.25, com valor esperado de -0.384%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 17:35
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.04%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-02 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 17:34
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 17:29
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -1.36%E -0.771%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 17:20
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.71%E -0.771%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.92%E -1.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.16%E -0.975%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 17:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.48%E -1.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.48%E -1.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 16:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.384%E -0.171%K -0.307%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 17:24
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.384%E -0.171%K -0.307%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 14:49
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.04%E -1.74%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 14:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:25
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:25
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.59%E -2.08%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 17:34
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:53
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:54
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.15%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.14%E -2.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:54
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 14:59
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:40
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:40
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:40
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 17:25
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 17:04
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.71%E -2.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:59
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.37%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:00
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:30
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.27%E -3.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 17:29
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.16%E -0.975%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 17:30
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 17:39
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.82%E -3.45%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.38%E -3.80%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 17:30
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.94%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.94%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.94%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.81%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.94%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.91%E -3.80%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:33
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.05%E -4.88%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.60%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -8.61%E -5.25%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 15:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.79I 55.87%NM 56.45%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.55%-1.0%2026-08-02 17:39
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-08-02 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-08-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-08-02 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-08-02 17:15
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-02 16:30
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-08-02 17:40
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-02 17:40
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-08-02 17:40
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-08-02 17:40