Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 55.03%1.82fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.00%55.04%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.731.7859.88%57.76%57.80%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 44.97%2.22fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.482%
Kelly -0.884%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%45.00%44.96%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.132.142.2048.78%46.96%46.73%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 55.03%; New York Mets (Visit): 44.97%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.96%E -0.899%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.96%E -0.899%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-15 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.60%E -1.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.06%E -0.482%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-15 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-15 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.06%E -0.482%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-15 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-15 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-15 20:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-15 21:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-15 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-15 22:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.21%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.21%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 23:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.11%E -2.42%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 23:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 21:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-15 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 21:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 21:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 21:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 08:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 22:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.76%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 20:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.76%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.76%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.76%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.76%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 22:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.55%E -4.50%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 22:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.10%E -4.85%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 20:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 19:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.4% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61% | 1.4% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.6% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.6% | 2026-06-15 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15% | 3.0% | 2026-06-15 23:00 |