A Escola das Odds

Cincinnati Reds v New York Mets

Início: 2026-06-15 23:11 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 12–0 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 55.03%1.82odd justa
EV -2.05%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -2.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.09%55.00%55.04%56.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.731.731.7859.88%57.76%57.80%56.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 44.97%2.22odd justa
EV -1.06%
Vantagem -0.482%
Kelly -0.884%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.72%45.00%44.96%45.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.132.142.2048.78%46.96%46.73%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.96%E -0.899%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-15 23:09
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.96%E -0.899%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-15 23:09
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-15 23:00
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-15 23:09
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-15 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-15 23:10
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-15 23:10
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.60%E -1.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.06%E -0.482%K -0.884%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-15 23:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 21:40
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 23:09
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 23:09
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 23:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 20:49
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.06%E -0.482%K -0.884%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-15 22:50
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 20:50
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 19:00
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-15 20:29
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-15 21:10
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-15 23:00
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-15 22:58
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.21%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 23:09
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.21%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 23:00
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 23:10
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 23:09
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 23:09
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 23:08
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.11%E -2.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:59
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:09
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:09
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:09
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 22:50
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 21:39
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 21:40
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 23:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 21:09
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 08:10
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:29
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:50
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:50
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:49
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:50
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:50
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:50
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.76%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 20:49
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.76%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:49
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.76%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:50
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.76%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:50
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.76%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:50
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 22:00
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 23:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 22:59
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.55%E -4.50%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 22:49
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.10%E -4.85%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 20:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-15 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-15 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-15 23:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-15 19:40
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-15 23:00
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-06-15 23:10
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%1.4%2026-06-15 23:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-06-15 23:10
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-06-15 23:10
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-06-15 23:00