L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Reds v New York Mets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-15 23:11 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 12–0 New York Mets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 55.03%1.82cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -2.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.09%55.00%55.04%56.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.731.731.7859.88%57.76%57.80%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.97%2.22cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.482%
Kelly -0.884%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.72%45.00%44.96%45.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.132.142.2048.78%46.96%46.73%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.96%E -0.899%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-15 23:09
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.96%E -0.899%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-15 23:09
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-15 23:00
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-15 23:09
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-15 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-15 23:10
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.05%E -1.15%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-15 23:10
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.60%E -1.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.06%E -0.482%K -0.884%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-15 23:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 21:40
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 23:09
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 23:09
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 23:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 20:49
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.06%E -0.482%K -0.884%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-15 22:50
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 20:50
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 19:00
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-15 20:29
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-15 21:10
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-15 23:00
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-15 22:58
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.21%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 23:09
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.21%E -1.98%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 23:00
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 23:10
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 23:09
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 23:09
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 23:08
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.11%E -2.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:59
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:09
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:09
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:09
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 23:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 22:50
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 21:39
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 21:40
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 23:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 21:09
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 08:10
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:29
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:50
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:50
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:49
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:50
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:50
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 22:50
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.76%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 20:49
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.76%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:49
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.76%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:50
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.76%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:50
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.76%E -1.76%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 22:50
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 22:00
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 23:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 22:59
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.55%E -4.50%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 22:49
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.10%E -4.85%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 20:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-15 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-15 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-06-15 23:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-15 19:40
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-15 23:00
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-06-15 23:10
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%1.4%2026-06-15 23:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-06-15 23:10
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-06-15 23:10
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-06-15 23:00