Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-09-04 22:11 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 7–10 Milwaukee Brewers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prediction 40.95%2.44fair odd
EV -0.498%
Edge -0.205%
Kelly -0.349%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.00%41.00%40.95%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.332.332.4345.45%42.97%42.92%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 59.05%1.69fair odd
EV +0.390%
Edge +0.229%
Kelly +0.557%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.00%59.05%60.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.621.7064.10%61.68%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 40.95%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 59.05%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.390%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -5.41%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV +0.390%E +0.229%K +0.557%G +0.002%2.1%2026-09-04 14:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.38%E -0.827%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:55
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.55%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.97%E -1.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -0.498%E -0.205%K -0.349%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-04 14:34
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.32%E -0.547%K -0.934%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-04 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.14%E -0.894%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.14%E -0.894%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 14:10
Everygame🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.55%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 14:14
BetUS🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.96%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 14:10
BetAnything🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 14:29
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:10
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.15%E -1.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.15%E -1.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 00:04
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.15%E -1.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.74%E -2.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 09:54
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.74%E -2.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 10:05
theScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -0.498%E -0.205%K -0.349%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.55%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 19:25
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 18:10
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 00:04
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:08
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 11:30
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 18:45
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:00
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:10
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:09
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 11:30
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.96%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.96%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 00:04
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 11:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:09
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.18%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 11:59
SportsBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 11:59
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:24
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 12:00
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:25
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:58
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:29
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -6.23%E -2.72%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:13
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:09
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.11%E -3.84%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.11%E -3.84%K -10.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:09
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.88%E -5.05%K -14.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.45I 40.82%NM 40.82%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.18%-0.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-09-04 14:35
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-04 10:55
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-03 19:45
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35