Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Milwaukee Brewers

Início: 2026-09-04 22:11 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 7–10 Milwaukee Brewers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 40.95%2.44odd justa
EV -0.498%
Vantagem -0.205%
Kelly -0.349%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.00%41.00%40.95%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.332.332.4345.45%42.97%42.92%41.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Previsão 59.05%1.69odd justa
EV +0.390%
Vantagem +0.229%
Kelly +0.557%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%59.00%59.05%60.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.621.621.7064.10%61.68%61.73%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 40.95%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 59.05%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.69. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.390%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -5.41%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV +0.390%E +0.229%K +0.557%G +0.002%2.1%2026-09-04 14:15
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.38%E -0.827%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:55
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.55%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.97%E -1.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -0.498%E -0.205%K -0.349%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-04 14:34
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.32%E -0.547%K -0.934%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-04 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.14%E -0.894%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.14%E -0.894%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 14:10
Everygame🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.55%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 14:14
BetUS🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.96%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 14:10
BetAnything🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 14:29
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:10
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -8.28%E -3.70%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.56%E -1.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.15%E -1.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.15%E -1.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 00:04
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.15%E -1.92%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.74%E -2.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 09:54
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.74%E -2.30%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 10:05
theScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -0.498%E -0.205%K -0.349%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.55%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 19:25
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 18:10
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 00:04
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:08
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 11:30
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 18:45
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:00
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:10
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:09
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 11:30
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.96%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.96%E -1.25%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 00:04
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 11:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:09
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.18%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 11:59
SportsBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 11:59
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:24
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.59%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 12:00
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:25
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:58
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:29
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -6.23%E -2.72%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:13
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:09
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.77%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.11%E -3.84%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.11%E -3.84%K -10.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:09
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.88%E -5.05%K -14.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 14:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.45I 40.82%NM 40.82%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.18%-0.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-09-04 14:35
ProphetX◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-04 10:55
Polymarket◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-03 19:45
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35