Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 50.37%1.99fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.914%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%50.51%50.39%52.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.881.891.9556.50%53.07%52.91%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 49.63%2.01fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.612%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.42%49.49%49.61%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.922.0454.05%51.71%52.08%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 50.37%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 49.63%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%EV -7.32%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%EV +1.25%E +0.612%K +1.20%G +0.015% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV +0.256%E +0.127%K +0.251%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV +0.256%E +0.127%K +0.251%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.736%E -0.368%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.736%E -0.368%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.78%E -0.914%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.78%E -0.914%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.78%E -0.914%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 13:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -8.83%E -4.88%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -8.83%E -4.88%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.29%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.32%E -3.40%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 08:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 05:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 13:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -10.85%E -6.13%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 07:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 22:28 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.32%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 21:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 20:12 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -7.32%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:12 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50% | 0.0% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 05:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |