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Cincinnati Reds v Miami Marlins
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева)
Прогноз 50.37%1.99справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.78%
Преимущество -0.914%
Kelly -1.88%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.95
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
49.60%50.51%50.39%52.58%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.771.881.891.9556.50%53.07%52.91%51.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Miami Marlins (Гости)
Прогноз 49.63%2.01справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.25%
Преимущество +0.612%
Kelly +1.20%
Рост +0.015%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.04
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.42%49.49%49.61%50.40%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.851.931.922.0454.05%51.71%52.08%49.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева): 50.37%; Miami Marlins (Гости): 49.63%. Для исхода «Miami Marlins (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.01. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.04, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.25%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%EV -7.32%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%EV +1.25%E +0.612%K +1.20%G +0.015% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV +0.256%E +0.127%K +0.251%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV +0.256%E +0.127%K +0.251%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.736%E -0.368%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.736%E -0.368%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -1.73%E -0.873%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.78%E -0.914%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 20:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.78%E -0.914%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.78%E -0.914%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 13:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -8.83%E -4.88%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -8.83%E -4.88%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -3.22%E -1.65%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.29%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.32%E -3.40%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 08:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 05:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.80%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 21:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 13:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -10.85%E -6.13%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 07:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 22:28 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.32%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.30%E -2.26%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 21:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 20:12 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -7.32%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:12 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.31%E -2.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50% | 0.0% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 05:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |