Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-07-28 23:10 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 2–0 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 43.37%2.31odd justa
EV -0.251%
Vantagem -0.109%
Kelly -0.193%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.31%43.36%43.42%44.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.202.202.3047.62%45.44%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 56.63%1.77odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -2.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.26%56.64%56.58%57.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.641.691.691.7360.98%59.23%59.17%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 43.37%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 56.63%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.31. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.30, com valor esperado de -0.251%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.251%E -0.109%K -0.193%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 19:14
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.685%E -0.299%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 23:04
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.12%E -0.491%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.59%E -1.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.12%E -0.491%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-28 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.12%E -0.491%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-28 23:09
BetUS🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.55%E -0.684%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 23:09
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.99%E -0.879%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.03%E -1.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 22:49
BetAnything🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.99%E -0.879%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-28 22:54
Caesars🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -1.99%E -0.879%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 21:00
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.42%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 20:54
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.42%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 23:04
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.29%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.59%E -1.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-28 22:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.29%E -1.47%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.59%E -1.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-28 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.72%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 23:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 19:04
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 19:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:59
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:59
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:59
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 23:00
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:59
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:29
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 22:59
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 21:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 19:05
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 20:09
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 20:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 20:09
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 20:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 20:09
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 20:39
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 23:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.59%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 21:30
DraftKings🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.02%E -2.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 23:09
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.46%E -2.50%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 19:24
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.46%E -2.50%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 19:23
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.46%E -2.50%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.46%E -2.50%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:59
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.46%E -2.50%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 22:59
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.46%E -2.50%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 23:04
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.89%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.16%E -1.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 23:09
SportsBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.89%E -2.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.29%E -2.54%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 19:04
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 21:29
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.86%E -2.89%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 22:59
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.43%E -3.25%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 20:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.99%E -3.61%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 22:59
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 23:01
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.76%E -3.14%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.56%E -3.98%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 23:04
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -8.06%E -3.80%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.13%E -4.34%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-28 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.73%E -2.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 19:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-07-28 23:10
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-28 20:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-07-28 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-07-28 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-07-28 23:05
ProphetX◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-07-28 23:10
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-07-28 21:49
BetOpenly◎2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.3%2026-07-28 23:09
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%3.2%2026-07-28 22:59
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%7.3%2026-07-28 23:09