La scuola delle quote

Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians

2026-07-28 23:11 UTC — MLB

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37 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Casa)

Previsione 45.33%2.21quota equa
EV -1.18%
Vantaggio -0.540%
Kelly -0.997%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.73%45.33%45.34%47.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.982.092.102.1850.51%47.76%47.62%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.67%1.83quota equa
EV -1.60%
Vantaggio -0.888%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%54.67%54.66%55.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.751.751.8060.24%57.27%57.14%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.18%E -0.540%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 20:15
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.08%E -0.964%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 20:15
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.08%E -0.964%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.69%E -1.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 20:15
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.60%E -0.888%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 20:25
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.88%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 20:25
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.88%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 21:15
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.90%E -1.84%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.78%E -2.15%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 17:45
MyBookie.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.90%E -1.84%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.78%E -2.15%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 20:15
DraftKings2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.90%E -1.84%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.88%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 20:15
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.35%E -2.06%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 19:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 20:15
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 20:15
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 20:29
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 20:15
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 20:15
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 20:15
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.88%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 20:15
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 20:15
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:45
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 20:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 20:15
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 20:15
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 20:15
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 20:20
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.71%E -2.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.33%E -2.47%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:15
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.71%E -2.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.42%E -3.14%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 20:14
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.71%E -2.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 17:45
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.16%E -2.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.78%E -2.15%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 20:15
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.16%E -2.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.78%E -2.15%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 20:15
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:15
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 20:15
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.07%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.61%E -4.50%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 20:15
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.60%E -0.888%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 17:45
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%EV -9.79%E -4.92%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -8.70%E -5.21%K -12.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 20:15
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -10.24%E -5.17%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -9.25%E -5.57%K -14.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 20:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99%-0.1%2026-07-27 18:00
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-27 20:15
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%1.4%2026-07-27 20:15
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%10.1%2026-07-27 20:15