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Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 51.68%1.93fair odd
EV +0.259%
Edge +0.133%
Kelly +0.275%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%51.50%51.70%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.871.851.9455.87%53.47%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 48.32%2.07fair odd
EV -0.460%
Edge -0.223%
Kelly -0.434%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.50%48.30%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.962.0654.64%51.30%51.02%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV +0.259%E +0.133%K +0.275%G +0.001% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -10.12%E -5.44%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV +0.259%E +0.133%K +0.275%G +0.001% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -10.12%E -5.44%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.61%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.61%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.29%E -0.676%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.29%E -0.676%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-11 13:34 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.29%E -0.676%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.29%E -0.676%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.57%E -6.32%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -1.81%E -0.952%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-11 22:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -2.33%E -1.23%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -1.43%E -0.699%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| GTbets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.943%E -0.460%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.43%E -0.699%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-11 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.43%E -0.699%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-11 21:59 |
| TAB | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-11 14:04 |
| BetUS | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.88%E -2.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.460%E -0.223%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.88%E -2.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.84%E -1.93%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 22:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.88%E -2.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.88%E -2.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 22:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 22:14 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 17:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 17:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 22:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 17:09 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 17:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 22:34 |
| ReBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 23:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 15:39 |
| Bovada | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.91%E -2.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.84%E -1.93%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:04 |
| Betsson | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.91%E -2.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.81%E -2.44%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.91%E -2.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.91%E -2.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 21:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| Caesars | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 21:52 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 23:08 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 20:45 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.26%E -3.23%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-11 20:59 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 22:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.49%E -4.19%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.23%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 22:42 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-11 20:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-11 19:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Novig | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-07-11 22:40 |
| BetOpenly | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.5% | 2026-07-11 22:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 2.9% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |