La scuola delle quote

Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs

Inizio: 2026-07-11 23:11 UTC

Finale: Cincinnati Reds 3–5 Chicago Cubs

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Casa)

Previsione 51.68%1.93quota equa
EV +0.259%
Vantaggio +0.133%
Kelly +0.275%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.93%51.50%51.70%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.791.871.851.9455.87%53.47%54.05%51.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.32%2.07quota equa
EV -0.460%
Vantaggio -0.223%
Kelly -0.434%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%48.50%48.30%51.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.951.962.0654.64%51.30%51.02%48.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV +0.259%E +0.133%K +0.275%G +0.001%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -10.12%E -5.44%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV +0.259%E +0.133%K +0.275%G +0.001%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -10.12%E -5.44%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 20:59
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:59
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:59
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.61%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:59
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.61%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:59
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.29%E -0.676%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 23:04
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.29%E -0.676%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 13:34
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.29%E -0.676%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:39
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.29%E -0.676%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.57%E -6.32%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 20:59
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -1.81%E -0.952%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 22:45
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -2.33%E -1.23%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -1.43%E -0.699%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 23:09
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.943%E -0.460%K -0.898%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 22:00
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.43%E -0.699%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.43%E -0.699%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 21:59
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-11 23:09
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 22:10
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 14:04
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.88%E -2.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.460%E -0.223%K -0.434%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.88%E -2.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.84%E -1.93%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 22:19
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.88%E -2.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 22:09
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.88%E -2.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 22:34
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 22:14
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 17:09
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:59
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 17:09
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 23:05
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 22:09
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 22:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:09
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:09
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 22:34
ReBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:10
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:09
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:09
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 15:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 15:39
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 15:39
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.91%E -2.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.84%E -1.93%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 23:04
Betsson1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.91%E -2.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.81%E -2.44%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.91%E -2.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:59
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.91%E -2.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 21:49
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:54
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:59
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:52
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 23:08
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 20:45
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.26%E -3.23%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 20:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 22:35
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.49%E -4.19%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.23%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 22:42
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-11 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-11 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-11 23:09
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-07-11 23:09
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-11 20:40
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-11 19:04
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-11 23:09
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-11 22:40
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-07-11 22:54
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%2.9%2026-07-11 23:09