مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs

البداية: 2026-07-11 23:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cincinnati Reds 3–5 Chicago Cubs

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.68%1.93السعر العادل
EV +0.259%
الأفضلية +0.133%
Kelly +0.275%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.94

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.93%51.50%51.70%52.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.791.871.851.9455.87%53.47%54.05%51.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chicago Cubs (الضيف)

التنبؤ 48.32%2.07السعر العادل
EV -0.460%
الأفضلية -0.223%
Kelly -0.434%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.37%48.50%48.30%51.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.831.951.962.0654.64%51.30%51.02%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV +0.259%E +0.133%K +0.275%G +0.001%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -10.12%E -5.44%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV +0.259%E +0.133%K +0.275%G +0.001%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -10.12%E -5.44%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 20:59
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:59
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:59
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.64%E -5.16%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:59
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.61%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:59
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.258%E -0.134%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.61%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:59
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.29%E -0.676%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 23:04
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.29%E -0.676%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 13:34
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.29%E -0.676%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:39
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.29%E -0.676%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.57%E -6.32%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 20:59
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -1.81%E -0.952%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 22:45
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -2.33%E -1.23%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -1.43%E -0.699%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 23:09
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.943%E -0.460%K -0.898%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 22:00
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.43%E -0.699%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.43%E -0.699%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 21:59
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-11 23:09
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 22:10
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.36%E -1.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 14:04
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.88%E -2.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.460%E -0.223%K -0.434%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.88%E -2.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.84%E -1.93%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 22:19
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.88%E -2.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 22:09
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.88%E -2.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 22:34
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 22:14
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 17:09
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:59
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 17:09
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 23:05
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 22:09
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 22:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:09
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:09
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 22:34
ReBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:10
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:09
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:09
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 15:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 15:39
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.39%E -2.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 15:39
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.91%E -2.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -3.84%E -1.93%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 23:04
Betsson1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.91%E -2.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.81%E -2.44%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:09
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.91%E -2.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:59
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.91%E -2.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 21:49
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:54
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 20:59
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 21:52
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 23:08
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 20:45
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.33%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.94%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.26%E -3.23%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 20:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 22:35
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.49%E -4.19%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.23%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 22:42
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-11 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-11 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-11 23:09
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-07-11 23:09
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-11 20:40
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-11 19:04
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-11 23:09
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-11 22:40
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-07-11 22:54
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%2.9%2026-07-11 23:09