Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 42.29%2.36fair odd
EV +0.216%
Edge +0.091%
Kelly +0.158%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%42.40%42.28%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.252.3747.62%44.87%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 57.71%1.73fair odd
EV +0.423%
Edge +0.243%
Kelly +0.572%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%57.60%57.72%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.671.671.7463.29%59.79%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 42.29%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 57.71%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.423%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.423%E +0.243%K +0.572%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.423%E +0.243%K +0.572%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.423%E +0.243%K +0.572%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.423%E +0.243%K +0.572%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -4.44%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-27 23:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -10.35%E -4.88%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -0.731%E -0.425%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -10.35%E -4.88%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -0.731%E -0.425%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -0.731%E -0.425%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.89%E -1.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.32%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.46%E -1.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.46%E -1.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.04%E -1.81%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.40%E -3.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.04%E -1.81%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.216%E +0.091%K +0.158%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-27 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.207%E -0.088%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-27 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.207%E -0.088%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-27 17:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.05%E -0.450%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-27 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 21:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 20:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.17%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -4.01%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 00:27 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 02:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.28%E -2.36%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.13%E -2.76%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.13%E -2.76%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 23:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.17%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.01%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 02:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 23:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 02:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.08%E -4.40%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 21:22 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 21:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.81%E -5.58%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.81%E -5.58%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-03-28 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-03-27 18:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.68% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.32% | 1.4% | 2026-03-28 02:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.60% | 9.2% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |