L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Reds v Boston Red Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 20:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 42.29%2.36cote équitable
EV +0.216%
Avantage +0.091%
Kelly +0.158%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.81%42.40%42.28%45.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.232.252.3747.62%44.87%44.44%42.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.71%1.73cote équitable
EV +0.423%
Avantage +0.243%
Kelly +0.572%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.97%57.60%57.72%59.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.671.671.7463.29%59.79%59.88%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.423%E +0.243%K +0.572%G +0.002%4.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.423%E +0.243%K +0.572%G +0.002%4.0%2026-03-27 23:35
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.423%E +0.243%K +0.572%G +0.002%4.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.423%E +0.243%K +0.572%G +0.002%4.0%2026-03-27 23:35
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -4.44%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 23:45
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -10.35%E -4.88%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -0.731%E -0.425%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -10.35%E -4.88%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -0.731%E -0.425%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -0.731%E -0.425%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 20:05
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.89%E -1.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 00:00
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.32%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.46%E -1.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-28 02:35
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.46%E -1.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 22:05
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.04%E -1.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:25
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.40%E -3.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.04%E -1.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:40
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.216%E +0.091%K +0.158%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.207%E -0.088%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 17:05
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.207%E -0.088%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 17:04
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.05%E -0.450%K -0.785%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 19:15
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 21:35
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:30
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:30
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:34
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 03:10
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 20:05
MyBookie.ag2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.17%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 00:30
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -4.01%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 00:27
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:59
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.28%E -2.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:45
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.13%E -2.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:50
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.13%E -2.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:50
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-28 02:25
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 21:25
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:05
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:30
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.17%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:20
Unibet (UK)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.01%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:25
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:40
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 21:25
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:19
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:59
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 21:25
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 02:14
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.08%E -4.40%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 21:22
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 21:25
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.81%E -5.58%K -15.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-28 02:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.81%E -5.58%K -15.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-28 02:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-03-28 02:30
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-03-28 00:00
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-03-27 18:45
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-03-28 00:05
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.68%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.32%1.4%2026-03-28 02:24
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.3%2026-03-28 02:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.60%9.2%2026-03-28 03:10