La escuela de los momios

Cincinnati Reds v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-03-28 20:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 42.29%2.36momio equitativo
EV +0.216%
Ventaja +0.091%
Kelly +0.158%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.81%42.40%42.28%45.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.232.252.3747.62%44.87%44.44%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 57.71%1.73momio equitativo
EV +0.423%
Ventaja +0.243%
Kelly +0.572%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.97%57.60%57.72%59.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.671.671.7463.29%59.79%59.88%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.423%E +0.243%K +0.572%G +0.002%4.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.423%E +0.243%K +0.572%G +0.002%4.0%2026-03-27 23:35
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.423%E +0.243%K +0.572%G +0.002%4.0%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +0.423%E +0.243%K +0.572%G +0.002%4.0%2026-03-27 23:35
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -4.44%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 23:45
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -9.51%E -4.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -0.154%E -0.089%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 23:35
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -10.35%E -4.88%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -0.731%E -0.425%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -10.35%E -4.88%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -0.731%E -0.425%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:35
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -0.731%E -0.425%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 20:05
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.89%E -1.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 00:00
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.32%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.46%E -1.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-28 02:35
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.46%E -1.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 22:05
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.04%E -1.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:25
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.40%E -3.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.04%E -1.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:40
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.216%E +0.091%K +0.158%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-27 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.207%E -0.088%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 17:05
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -0.207%E -0.088%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-27 17:04
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.05%E -0.450%K -0.785%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 19:15
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 21:35
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:30
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:30
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:34
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 03:10
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 20:05
MyBookie.ag2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.17%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 00:30
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -4.01%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 00:27
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:59
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.28%E -2.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:45
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.13%E -2.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:50
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.13%E -2.76%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.19%E -2.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:50
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-28 02:25
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 21:25
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:40
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:05
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.77%E -2.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 21:30
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.17%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 21:20
Unibet (UK)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.01%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:25
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:40
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.35%E -3.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 21:25
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.629%E -0.268%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 02:19
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.74%E -1.19%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:59
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 21:25
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.50%E -4.01%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 02:14
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.08%E -4.40%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 21:22
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 21:25
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.81%E -5.58%K -15.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-28 02:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.81%E -5.58%K -15.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-28 02:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-03-28 02:30
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-03-28 00:00
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-03-27 18:45
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-03-28 00:05
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.68%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.32%1.4%2026-03-28 02:24
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.3%2026-03-28 02:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.60%9.2%2026-03-28 03:10