Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 40.89%2.45fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.599%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.90%40.81%42.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.352.4146.51%42.83%42.55%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 59.11%1.69fair odd
EV -0.112%
Edge -0.066%
Kelly -0.163%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.93%59.10%59.19%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.621.621.6965.36%61.86%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 40.89%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 59.11%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.692. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.690, with an expected value of -0.112%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.44%E -0.599%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-26 18:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.85%E -0.772%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.43%E -3.39%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 19:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.85%E -0.772%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.61%E -4.19%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.85%E -0.772%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.20%E -4.59%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 15:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.85%E -0.772%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 19:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.26%E -0.946%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.67%E -1.12%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.67%E -1.12%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.67%E -1.12%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 13:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 13:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.61%E -4.19%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.61%E -4.19%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-24 19:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 19:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 13:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 19:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 19:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-26 08:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 15:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.43%E -3.39%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.31%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-25 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -0.112%E -0.066%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-26 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 20:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 19:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 19:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 19:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 19:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-25 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 19:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 19:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 14:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.29%E -0.775%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-26 10:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 09:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 01:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 04:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 04:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 04:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 00:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.43%E -3.39%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 19:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.43%E -3.39%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.61%E -4.19%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 19:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -7.58%E -3.35%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 19:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.43%E -3.39%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 17:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.42%EV -9.57%E -6.25%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-26 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.42%EV -9.57%E -6.25%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-26 19:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 41.06% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.94% | -0.2% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 0.2% | 2026-03-26 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-26 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-26 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-26 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |