L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Reds v Boston Red Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-26 20:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 40.89%2.45cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.599%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.24%40.90%40.81%42.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.332.352.4146.51%42.83%42.55%41.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.11%1.69cote équitable
EV -0.112%
Avantage -0.066%
Kelly -0.163%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.93%59.10%59.19%60.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.621.621.6965.36%61.86%61.73%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.44%E -0.599%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-26 18:55
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.85%E -0.772%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.43%E -3.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 19:38
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.85%E -0.772%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.61%E -4.19%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 19:39
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.85%E -0.772%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.20%E -4.59%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 15:44
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.85%E -0.772%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 19:14
GTbets2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.26%E -0.946%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-26 15:39
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.67%E -1.12%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 15:39
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.67%E -1.12%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 15:40
BetAnything2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.67%E -1.12%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-26 19:40
BetUS2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-26 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 13:10
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 20:04
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 13:19
NordicBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.61%E -4.19%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 19:39
Betsson2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.61%E -4.19%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 19:40
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 19:39
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 20:05
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 20:04
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 20:05
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 20:05
MyBookie.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 19:19
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 13:10
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 13:19
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 19:15
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 19:15
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 08:49
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 15:04
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 19:14
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 19:19
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 19:14
Dabble (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.43%E -3.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:05
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.31%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 19:30
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -0.112%E -0.066%K -0.163%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-26 19:30
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 20:00
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 19:59
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 19:59
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 19:59
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 20:00
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 20:05
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 15:05
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 19:59
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 19:59
SportsBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 14:09
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.29%E -0.775%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-26 10:34
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 09:24
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 01:09
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 04:05
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 04:04
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 04:05
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 00:20
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.43%E -3.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 19:19
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.43%E -3.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 20:05
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.61%E -4.19%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 19:14
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -7.58%E -3.35%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 19:29
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.43%E -3.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 17:45
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.42%EV -9.57%E -6.25%K -18.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-26 20:00
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.42%EV -9.57%E -6.25%K -18.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-26 19:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.44I 40.98%NM 41.06%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.94%-0.2%2026-03-26 20:04
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-03-26 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-03-26 20:05
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-03-26 19:55
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-03-26 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-03-26 20:04
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-26 20:04
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-26 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-03-26 20:05
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-03-26 20:05