Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-03-26 20:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 40.89%2.45momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.599%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.24%40.90%40.81%42.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.332.352.4146.51%42.83%42.55%41.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 59.11%1.69momio equitativo
EV -0.112%
Ventaja -0.066%
Kelly -0.163%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.93%59.10%59.19%60.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.621.621.6965.36%61.86%61.73%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 40.89%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 59.11%. Para Boston Red Sox (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.692. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.690, con un valor esperado de -0.112%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.44%E -0.599%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-26 18:55
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.85%E -0.772%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.43%E -3.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 19:38
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.85%E -0.772%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.61%E -4.19%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 19:39
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.85%E -0.772%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.20%E -4.59%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 15:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.85%E -0.772%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 19:14
GTbets🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.26%E -0.946%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-26 15:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.67%E -1.12%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 15:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.67%E -1.12%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-26 15:40
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.67%E -1.12%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-26 19:40
BetUS🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-26 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 13:10
Bovada🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 20:04
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 13:19
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.61%E -4.19%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 19:39
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.08%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.61%E -4.19%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 19:40
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 19:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 20:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 19:19
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 13:10
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 19:15
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 19:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 08:49
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 15:04
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 19:14
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 19:19
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 19:14
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.90%E -1.66%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.43%E -3.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 20:05
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.31%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.66%E -2.24%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 19:30
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -0.112%E -0.066%K -0.163%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-26 19:30
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 20:00
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 19:59
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 19:59
LeoVegas🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 19:59
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 20:00
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 20:05
Bet Right🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 15:05
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 19:59
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 19:59
SportsBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.29%E -0.775%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-26 10:34
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 09:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 01:09
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 04:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 04:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 04:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.62%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 00:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.43%E -3.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 19:19
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.43%E -3.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.94%E -2.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.61%E -4.19%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 19:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -7.58%E -3.35%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 19:29
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.99%E -3.55%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.43%E -3.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 17:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.42%EV -9.57%E -6.25%K -18.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-26 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -12.08%E -5.62%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.42%EV -9.57%E -6.25%K -18.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-26 19:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.44I 40.98%NM 41.06%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.94%-0.2%2026-03-26 20:04
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-03-26 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-03-26 20:05
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-03-26 19:55
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-03-26 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-03-26 20:04
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-26 20:04
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-26 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-03-26 20:05
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-03-26 20:05