Школа коэффициентов

Cincinnati Reds v Baltimore Orioles

Начало: 2026-07-04 23:11 UTC

Итог: Cincinnati Reds 5–8 Baltimore Orioles

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

62 букмекерские конторы (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Хозяева)

Прогноз 53.28%1.88справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.50%
Преимущество -1.36%
Kelly -3.01%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.83

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.59%53.30%53.25%54.83%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.701.791.791.8358.82%55.95%55.71%54.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Гости)

Прогноз 46.72%2.14справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.447%
Преимущество +0.208%
Kelly +0.389%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.15

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
45.17%46.70%46.75%48.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.80%48.78%46.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.447%E +0.208%K +0.389%G +0.002%2.1%2026-07-04 14:15
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.487%E -0.229%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 22:00
Everygame1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.487%E -0.229%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 14:55
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.954%E -0.450%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-04 23:09
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.954%E -0.450%K -0.852%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 22:00
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.954%E -0.450%K -0.852%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 22:35
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.03%E -1.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.42%E -0.674%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.03%E -1.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.42%E -0.674%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 23:10
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 17:15
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 14:15
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.82%E -4.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:55
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 19:24
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 14:40
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 15:35
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 15:35
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.29%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 21:40
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.29%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 23:08
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-03 20:25
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:14
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:04
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 19:20
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:15
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 14:35
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 19:20
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 15:40
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 19:55
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 14:15
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 23:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 14:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 14:15
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:40
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.16%E -2.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:09
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.16%E -2.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:09
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:40
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:40
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:40
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.09%E -3.03%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:09
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:10
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 23:10
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 21:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 20:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.42%E -5.54%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.50%E -3.79%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 18:30
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (10)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-07-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-04 23:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-04 22:55
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-04 23:05
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-07-04 23:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-07-04 23:10