A Escola das Odds

Cincinnati Reds v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-07-04 23:11 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 5–8 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 53.28%1.88odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -1.36%
Kelly -3.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%53.30%53.25%54.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.791.791.8358.82%55.95%55.71%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 46.72%2.14odd justa
EV +0.447%
Vantagem +0.208%
Kelly +0.389%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.17%46.70%46.75%48.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.80%48.78%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.447%E +0.208%K +0.389%G +0.002%2.1%2026-07-04 14:15
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.487%E -0.229%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 22:00
Everygame1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.487%E -0.229%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 14:55
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.954%E -0.450%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-04 23:09
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.954%E -0.450%K -0.852%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 22:00
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.954%E -0.450%K -0.852%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 22:35
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.03%E -1.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.42%E -0.674%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.03%E -1.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.42%E -0.674%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 23:10
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 17:15
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 14:15
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.82%E -4.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:55
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 19:24
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 14:40
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 15:35
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 15:35
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.29%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 21:40
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.29%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 23:08
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-03 20:25
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:14
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:04
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 19:20
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:15
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 14:35
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 19:20
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 15:40
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 19:55
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 14:15
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 23:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 14:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 14:15
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:40
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.16%E -2.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:09
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.16%E -2.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:09
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:40
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:40
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:40
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.09%E -3.03%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:09
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:10
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 23:10
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 21:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 20:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.42%E -5.54%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.50%E -3.79%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 18:30
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-07-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-04 23:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-04 22:55
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-04 23:05
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-07-04 23:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-07-04 23:10