Die Schule der Quoten

Cincinnati Reds v Baltimore Orioles

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-04 23:11 UTC

Endstand: Cincinnati Reds 5–8 Baltimore Orioles

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Heim)

Prognose 53.28%1.88faire Quote
EV -2.50%
Vorteil -1.36%
Kelly -3.01%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.83

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.59%53.30%53.25%54.83%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.701.791.791.8358.82%55.95%55.71%54.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Auswärts)

Prognose 46.72%2.14faire Quote
EV +0.447%
Vorteil +0.208%
Kelly +0.389%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
45.17%46.70%46.75%48.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.80%48.78%46.51%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.447%E +0.208%K +0.389%G +0.002%2.1%2026-07-04 14:15
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.487%E -0.229%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 22:00
Everygame1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.487%E -0.229%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 14:55
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.954%E -0.450%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-04 23:09
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.954%E -0.450%K -0.852%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 22:00
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.954%E -0.450%K -0.852%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 22:35
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.03%E -1.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.42%E -0.674%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.03%E -1.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.42%E -0.674%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 23:10
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 17:15
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 14:15
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.82%E -4.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:55
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 19:24
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 14:40
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 15:35
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 15:35
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.29%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 21:40
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.29%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 23:08
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-03 20:25
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:14
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:04
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 19:20
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:15
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 14:35
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 19:20
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 15:40
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 19:55
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 14:15
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 23:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 14:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 14:15
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:40
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.16%E -2.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:09
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.16%E -2.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:09
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:40
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:40
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:40
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.09%E -3.03%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:09
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:10
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 23:10
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 21:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 20:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.42%E -5.54%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.50%E -3.79%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 18:30
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-07-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-04 23:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-04 22:55
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-04 23:05
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-07-04 23:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-07-04 23:10