مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cincinnati Reds v Baltimore Orioles

البداية: 2026-07-04 23:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cincinnati Reds 5–8 Baltimore Orioles

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.28%1.88السعر العادل
EV -2.50%
الأفضلية -1.36%
Kelly -3.01%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.59%53.30%53.25%54.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.791.791.8358.82%55.95%55.71%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.72%2.14السعر العادل
EV +0.447%
الأفضلية +0.208%
Kelly +0.389%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.17%46.70%46.75%48.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.80%48.78%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.447%E +0.208%K +0.389%G +0.002%2.1%2026-07-04 14:15
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.487%E -0.229%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 22:00
Everygame1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.487%E -0.229%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 14:55
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.954%E -0.450%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-04 23:09
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.954%E -0.450%K -0.852%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 22:00
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.954%E -0.450%K -0.852%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 22:35
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.03%E -1.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.42%E -0.674%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.03%E -1.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.42%E -0.674%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 23:10
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 17:15
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 14:15
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.82%E -4.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.89%E -0.899%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:55
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 19:24
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 14:40
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 15:35
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.82%E -1.36%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 15:35
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.29%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 21:40
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.29%E -1.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 23:08
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-03 20:25
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 22:14
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:04
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 19:20
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:15
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 14:35
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 19:20
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 15:40
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 19:55
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 14:15
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 23:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 14:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.22%E -2.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 14:15
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.56%E -1.97%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:40
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.69%E -2.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:40
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.16%E -2.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:09
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.16%E -2.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:09
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:40
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:40
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.63%E -2.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:40
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.09%E -3.03%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:09
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:10
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 23:10
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 21:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 20:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.42%E -5.54%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.56%E -3.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.50%E -3.79%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 23:10
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 18:30
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.90%E -4.56%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 23:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-07-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-04 23:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-04 22:55
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-04 23:05
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-04 23:10
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-07-04 23:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-07-04 23:10
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-07-04 23:10