Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds v Arizona Diamondbacks

Kickoff: 2026-06-14 17:41 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 3–5 Arizona Diamondbacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prediction 48.73%2.05fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.533%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%48.77%48.68%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.941.952.0353.19%51.43%51.28%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 51.27%1.95fair odd
EV +0.493%
Edge +0.252%
Kelly +0.514%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.23%51.32%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.871.9655.56%53.32%53.48%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 48.73%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 51.27%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.493%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -4.49%E -2.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV +0.493%E +0.252%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.0%2026-06-14 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.09%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.05%E -0.541%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-14 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.36%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.56%E -0.811%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.36%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.56%E -0.811%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 15:10
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.57%E -0.777%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-14 17:39
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-14 14:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.44%E -3.36%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.90%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.90%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.90%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 14:29
Everygame🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.08%E -0.533%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -3.10%E -1.64%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-14 17:30
BetAnything🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.57%E -0.777%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.10%E -1.64%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 17:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.10%E -1.64%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 16:29
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.90%E -4.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.10%E -1.64%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 15:10
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.90%E -4.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.10%E -1.64%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 15:10
GTbets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.08%E -0.533%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.08%E -0.533%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.08%E -0.533%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:40
BetUS🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.08%E -0.533%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 17:39
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.39%E -4.46%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 15:10
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:40
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:39
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 16:20
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.47%E -2.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.47%E -2.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.42%E -3.90%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Bovada🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.49%E -2.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:38
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:40
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 17:39
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 17:40
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.49%E -2.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 16:20
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 16:20
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 16:20
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.39%E -4.46%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.47%E -2.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 17:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-06-14 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-14 17:30
ProphetX2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%1.1%2026-06-14 17:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-14 14:50
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-06-14 17:30
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.6%2026-06-14 17:40
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%4.5%2026-06-14 17:40