La escuela de los momios

Cincinnati Reds v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inicio: 2026-06-14 17:41 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 3–5 Arizona Diamondbacks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 48.73%2.05momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.533%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.78%48.77%48.68%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.881.941.952.0353.19%51.43%51.28%49.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 51.27%1.95momio equitativo
EV +0.493%
Ventaja +0.252%
Kelly +0.514%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.23%51.32%52.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.871.9655.56%53.32%53.48%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -4.49%E -2.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV +0.493%E +0.252%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.0%2026-06-14 14:30
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.09%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.05%E -0.541%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-14 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.36%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.56%E -0.811%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.36%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.56%E -0.811%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 15:10
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.57%E -0.777%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-14 17:39
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-14 14:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 18:50
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 14:20
DraftKings1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.44%E -3.36%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:39
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.90%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.90%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 15:10
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.90%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 14:29
Everygame2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.08%E -0.533%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -3.10%E -1.64%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-14 17:30
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.57%E -0.777%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.10%E -1.64%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 17:39
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.10%E -1.64%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 16:29
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.90%E -4.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.10%E -1.64%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 15:10
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.90%E -4.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.10%E -1.64%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 15:10
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.08%E -0.533%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:39
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.08%E -0.533%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:40
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.08%E -0.533%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:40
BetUS2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.08%E -0.533%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:39
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 17:39
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.39%E -4.46%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 15:10
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:40
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:39
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:40
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:39
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 16:20
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.47%E -2.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.47%E -2.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:40
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 14:10
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.42%E -3.90%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 16:30
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.49%E -2.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:38
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:40
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 17:39
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 17:39
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 17:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 16:20
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.49%E -2.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:40
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 16:20
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 16:20
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 16:20
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.39%E -4.46%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.47%E -2.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 17:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 17:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-06-14 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-14 17:30
ProphetX2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%1.1%2026-06-14 17:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-14 14:50
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-06-14 17:30
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.6%2026-06-14 17:40
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%4.5%2026-06-14 17:40