L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Reds v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-14 17:41 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 3–5 Arizona Diamondbacks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 48.73%2.05cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.533%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.78%48.77%48.68%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.881.941.952.0353.19%51.43%51.28%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.27%1.95cote équitable
EV +0.493%
Avantage +0.252%
Kelly +0.514%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.23%51.32%52.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.881.871.9655.56%53.32%53.48%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -4.49%E -2.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV +0.493%E +0.252%K +0.514%G +0.003%2.0%2026-06-14 14:30
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.09%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.05%E -0.541%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-14 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.36%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.56%E -0.811%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.36%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.56%E -0.811%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 15:10
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.57%E -0.777%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-14 17:39
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-14 14:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 18:50
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 14:20
DraftKings1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.44%E -3.36%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:39
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.90%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 15:10
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.90%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 15:10
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.90%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.36%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 14:29
Everygame2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.08%E -0.533%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -3.10%E -1.64%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-14 17:30
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.57%E -0.777%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.10%E -1.64%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 17:39
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.10%E -1.64%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 16:29
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.90%E -4.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.10%E -1.64%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 15:10
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.90%E -4.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.10%E -1.64%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 15:10
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.08%E -0.533%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:39
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.08%E -0.533%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:40
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.08%E -0.533%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:40
BetUS2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.08%E -0.533%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:39
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 17:39
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.39%E -4.46%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.61%E -1.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 15:10
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:40
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:39
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:40
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:39
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 16:20
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.47%E -2.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.47%E -2.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:40
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 14:10
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.42%E -3.90%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 16:30
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.52%E -1.78%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.49%E -2.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:38
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:40
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 17:39
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 17:39
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 17:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 16:20
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.49%E -2.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.66%E -3.08%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:40
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 16:20
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 16:20
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.54%E -1.27%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-14 16:20
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.39%E -4.46%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.47%E -2.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 17:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.98%E -2.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 17:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-06-14 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-14 17:30
ProphetX2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%1.1%2026-06-14 17:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-14 14:50
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-06-14 17:30
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.6%2026-06-14 17:40
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%4.5%2026-06-14 17:40